Skip to content

Hazard Model 2.0

In development

The Hazard Model 2.0 incorporates many possible risk factors for CWD to calculate surveillance quotas per sub-administrative area. Surveillance targets can be used by agencies to plan upcoming surveillance across a region, state, province, or nation.

Geographical Scale

  • Administrative area, subdivided into a sub-administrative areas

Required Data

  • Deer demography data

Suggested Data

  • Cervid facility data
  • Taxidermist data
  • Meat processor data
  • Mineral and/or salt lick data
  • Feedground data
  • Watering tank/guzzler data
  • Baiting station data
  • Rendering facility data
  • Incineration facility data
  • Landfill data
  • Food bank data
  • Dumped carcass data
  • Shed antler collection data
  • Local practices data

User Inputs

  • The set of risk factors relevant in the area of interest
  • The severity of risk posed by each risk factor

Outputs

  • Baseline spatial risk by sub-administrative area
  • Risk profiles across sub-administrative areas
  • Hazard profiles across sub-administrative areas
  • Surveillance quotas across sub-administrative areas

Hazard Model 2.0 Risk Map

The baseline spatial risk generated by Sernaker et al. 2026, which is a component of the Hazard Model 2.0.

More Information

For more information, go to the CWD Data Warehouse User Manual: Hazard Model 2.0.

Code

To view the code, go to the GitHub Repository: Hazard Model 2.0.

Citations

  • Thompson N, Sernaker S, Hanley B, Cook J, Hollingshead N, Hubbs A, Reed H, LaHue N, Lieske C, Gillin C, Reeder A, Munk B, Wood L, Justice-Allen A, Duvuvuei O, Crockett E, Wycoff S, DeVivo M, Westacott H, Cook W, Heffelfinger L, Wild M, Epps C, Walsh D, Nelson C, Thacker C, Beckmen K, Schuler K. The Hazard Model 2.0: Extension of a risk-based chronic wasting disease surveillance model to the western United States and Canada. In preparation
  • Sernaker S, Hollinghsead N, Hanley B, Schuler K. 2026. Transition probabilities for chronic wasting disease (CWD) by county across the United States [Software]. Cornell University Library eCommons Repository.