Epizootic Risk Model
Deployed
The Epizootic Risk Model reveals how demographic parameters of the live cervid population may influence CWD dynamics if prions were to be introduced into the herd.
Geographical Scale
- Administrative area, subdivided into a sub-administrative areas
Required Data
- Sample data
Suggested Data
- Demography data
User Inputs
- Cervid species of interest
- Estimates of demographic factors (if demography data are unavailable)
- Estimates of epidemiological factors
Outputs
- Estimates of the Epizootic Potential in each sub-administrative area
- Comparative maps of Epizootic Potential by sub-administrative area
- Charts depicting the main drivers of Epizootic Potential within each host population

More Information
For more information, go to the CWD Data Warehouse User Manual: Epizootic Risk Model.
Code and Docker Image
To view the code, go to the GitHub Repository: Epizootic Risk Model. To view the docker image, go to the Docker Hub: cwhl/epizootic-risk-model-v2.
Citation
- Hanley B, M Carstensen, D Walsh, S Christensen, D Storm, J Booth, J Guinness, C Them, M Ahmed, & K Schuler. 2022. Informing surveillance through the characterization of outbreak potential of chronic wasting disease in white-tailed deer. Ecological Modelling 471C, 110054.